The young and old were split on the vote…so time will tell.
[ Editor’s note: Uri brings us an excellent historical perspective like no one else can. To bridge from the Scotland independence vote to the reverse path that ISIS is taking, creating a mega Muslim caliphate, is not a task I would have attempted nor am qualified to do.
This is why VT has always worked to have a variety of different viewpoints from people with vastly different backgrounds. We value the cross pollination, and when we look at the waves of ideological websites and media platforms out there, all we see is a wasteland… a giant incubator for reducing IQ levels.
The trend toward smaller states breaking away from bigger ones, where they feel they are being exploited, is of course a rational one. But a good idea, even a justified one, does not make it a doable one. The breakaway new state can become just as corrupt as the former larger one, with battles for control taking place within a smaller population.
The 45%- 55% vote in Scotland was not an auspicious birthing of a new nation. In Catalonia, it looks like theirs would run 90% now… with 75% probably a more realistic estimate. But starting a new country with a public split 50/50ish… I would be quite worried, if I were a Scottish citizen. Age differences ruled the day. The old folks went 75% to stay with Britain, with the young people just the opposite — a telling number.
But that said, changes always bring tradeoffs with them. Restructuring a political state is hardly like giving the dinner order to your waiter for the whole table. People have to feel they have a real stake in it, or they end up with the opposition and never-ending turmoil, which turns their new state into a political swampland.
In whose hands does the future of Scotland lay?
As for the bigger regional issues, geopolitics has become dominated by economic warfare now. The military’s main task is to close business deals when the negotiations get stalled. We are hearing more of the current US officer Corps beginning to understand this, and not like it.
Whatever adjective you put in front of it, the word mercenary follows, because you are really fighting to secure business and financial goals, and even worse, if they are for the offshore political gangsters and their international crime friends.
Being forced into trading blocks, or excluded from them, is the mega-gangsters’ club of choice. Just look at what the EU has done to its struggling people, with the sanctions boomerang on Ukraine becoming the new threat hoax, as the Iranian threat hoax gets put to bed.
That is one aspect of the New World Order that does not get the attention that it should… it’s basically being a criminal endeavor where territories are being divided up among the Don Corleones of the world. When you strip off all the wrapping paper, that is what you find inside. We are getting validation of this almost everyday at VT. It is not pretty… Jim W. Dean ]
Two countries competed this week for first place in news programs all over the world: Scotland and the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.
There could not be a greater difference than between these two countries. Scotland is damp and cold, Iraq is hot and dry. Scotland is called after its whisky (or the other way round), while for ISIS fighters, drinking alcohol is the mark of unbelievers, who should lose their heads (literally).
However, there is one common denominator of both crises: they mark the approaching demise of the nation-state. Modern nationalism, like any great idea in history, was born out of a new set of circumstances: economic, military, spiritual and others, which made older forms obsolete.
By the end of the 17th century, existing states could no longer cope with new demands. Small states were doomed. The economy demanded a safe domestic market large enough for the development of modern industries. New mass armies needed a base strong enough to provide soldiers and pay for modern arms. New ideologies created new identities.
Britanny and Corsica could not exist as independent entities. They had to give up much of their separate identity and join the large and powerful French state to survive. The United Kingdom, the union of the British isles under a Scottish king, became a world power. Others followed, each at its own pace. Zionism was a late effort to imitate this.
Ataturk
The processreached its peak at the end of World War I, when empires like the Ottoman Caliphate and Austria-Hungary broke up. Kemal Atatürk, who exchanged the Islamic caliphate for a Turkish national state, was perhaps the last great ideologue of the national idea.
But by that time, this idea was already growing old. The realities which had created it were changing rapidly. If I am not mistaken, it was Gustave Le Bon, the French psychologist, who asserted a hundred years ago that every new idea is already obsolete by the time it is adopted by the masses.
The process works like this: somebody conceives the idea. It takes a generation for it to become accepted by the intellectuals. It takes another generation for the intellectuals to teach the masses.
By the time it attains power, the circumstances that gave it birth have already changed, and a new idea is required. Reality changes much more quickly than the human mind.
Gustave Le Bon
Take the ideaof the European nation-state. When it reached its final victory, after the Great War, the world had already changed. European armies, which had mowed each other down with machine guns, were facing tanks and warplanes. The economy became world-wide. Air travel abolished distances. Modern communication created a “world village”.
In 1926 an Austrian nobleman, Richard Coudenhove-Kalergi, convened a pan-European congress. While Adolf Hitler, a hopelessly old-fashioned thinker, tried to impose the German nation-state on the continent, a small group of idealists propagated the idea of a European Union, which spread after another dreadful World War.
This idea, now still in its infancy, is generally accepted, but it is already obsolete. The multinational economy, the social media, the fight against deadly diseases, the civil wars and genocides, the environmental dangers threatening the entire planet – all these make world governance imperative and urgent – yet this is an idea whose realization is still very far away.
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Richard Coudenhove-Kalergi convened a pan-European congress
The obsolescenceof the nation-state has given birth to a paradoxical by-product: the breakup of the state into smaller and smaller units. While the world trend towards larger and larger political and economic units gathers strength, nation-states fall apart. All over the world, small peoples are demanding independence.
This is not quite as ridiculous as it looks. The nation-state came into being because realities needed societies of at least a certain size and strength. But by now, all the major functions of the states are moving towards much larger regional unions.
So why does Corsica need France? Why do the Basques need Spain? Why does Quebec need Canada? Why not live in a smaller state with people like you, who speak your natural language?
Czechoslovakia has broken up, peacefully. So has Yugoslavia, not so peacefully. So have Cyprus, Serbia, Sudan – and the Soviet Union, of course. (Let me remark in passing that this also concerns the idea of the so-called One-State solution for our little problem in Israel/Palestine. During the last three generations, the world has not seen a single instance of two different peoples coming together voluntarily in one state.)
The Scottish referendum is one of the opening scenes of this new epoch. The proponents of independence promised that Scotland could join the European Union and NATO, perhaps adopt the Euro. So why, they ask, should Scotland remain in the British straightjacket? After all, Britannia does not rule the waves anymore! The failure of the vote for Scottish independence does not change the course of events. It just slows it down.
Nationalism was a European idea. It never struck deep roots in the arid fields of the Arab world. Even in the heyday of Arab nationalism, it was never quite clear whether a Damascene, for example, considered himself first a Syrian or a Muslim, whether a Beiruti considered himself first a Maronite-Christian or a Lebanese, or whether a Cairene was first an Egyptian, an Arab or a Muslim.
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Mark Sykes
During theAlgerian struggle for independence, an angry French right-wing politician once complained to me: “Before we conquered North Africa, Algeria was never united! We created the Algerian nation!” He was quite right, though he drew the wrong conclusions. Many times I heard exactly the same from dedicated Zionists about the Palestinian nation.
The modern Arab nations were invented by European colonialists. Lately, it has become a fashion to mention Mark Sykes and Georges Picot, two mediocre bureaucrats, one British, one French, who drew up a secret agreement for the division of the Ottoman Empire. They and their successors created the states of Syria, Iraq, (Trans)Jordan, Palestine etc.
These “nation-states” were quite artificial. The European planners had generally very little understanding for local circumstances, traditions, identities and culture. Neither did they care very much. Iraq, with its different components, was created to accommodate British interests.
Jordan
The strange easternborders of Jordan were shaped for a British oil pipeline from Mosul to Haifa. Lebanon, created as a home for the Christians, was shaped to include Muslim Sunnite and Shiite areas, just to make it larger.
Al-Sham was stripped of Jordan, Palestine and Lebanon and became Syria. Later it also lost Alexandretta to Turkey. All these imperialist manipulations ran counter to Muslim history and tradition.
Every Muslim child learns in school about the vast Muslim empires, stretching from the north of Spain to the borders of Burma, from the gates of Vienna to the South of Yemen, and then has to look at the map of mini-countries like Jordan and Lebanon. It’s humiliating.
Ghenghis Khan empire – click to enlarge
First there were efforts to unify the Arabs under the umbrella of nationalism. The Ba’ath party strove (in theory, at least) to create one, single pan-Arab state, and the creed was taken up by the hero of the masses, the Egyptian Gamal Abd-al-Nasser, a secular military dictator.
A pan-Arab state could also have created some equality between rich oil-states like Saudi Arabia and poor countries like Egypt. Nasserism created a new ideology. Pan-Arab nationalism was “kaumi”. Local patriotism was “wotani”. The community of all Muslims was the “umma”.
(The same word, umma, means the opposite in Hebrew: a modern nation. Israelis are as mixed up as their neighbors. We have to choose our priority. Are we primarily Jews, Hebrews or Israelis? What exactly does “the Nation-State of the Jewish People”, as propagated by Binyamin Netanyahu, mean?)
The huge attraction of the movement now called “Islamic State” is that it proposes a simple idea: do away with all these crazy borders drawn up by Western imperialists for their own purposes and re-create the classic pan-Muslim state: the Caliphate.
This seems like the opposite of the breakup of European states, but it means the same: the total rejection of the nation-state. As such, it belongs both to the past and to the future. It glorifies the past. Muhammad and his immediate successors (caliph means successor) are idealized as immaculate persons, the embodiment of all virtues, the possessors of divine wisdom.
This is very far from historical truth. All three immediate successors of the prophet were assassinated. Because of quarrels about the succession, Islam split into Sunnis and Shiites and remains so to this very day (now more than ever). But myth is stronger than truth.
However, while clinging to the past, the Islamic State movement (former ISIS, the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham) is very modern. With one swipe it clears the table of the nation-state and its derivatives. It carries a clear, simple idea, easily understood by Muslims everywhere. It seems to be vastly convincing.
The Westernresponse is almost comically inadequate. People like Barack Obama and John Kerry, and their equivalents all over Europe, are quite unable to understand what it is all about. With the traditional European contempt for the “natives”, they see nothing but head-cutting terrorists.
They really seem to believe that they can vanquish a revolutionary new idea by forming a coalition with Arab dictators and corrupt politicians, bombing the rebels and finishing the job by employing local mercenaries. That is a ludicrous misreading of the new reality. By now, IS, with just a handful of fanatical and cruel militants, has conquered huge territories.
What is the answer? Frankly, I don’t know. But the first step for Westerners, as well as for Israelis, is to discard their arrogance and try to understand the new phenomenon they are facing.
They are not facing “terrorists” – the magic word that seems to solve all problems without the need to strain the brain. They are facing a new phenomenon… History is in the making.
Jim W. Dean was an active editor on VT from 2010-2022. He was involved in operations, development, and writing, plus an active schedule of TV and radio interviews.
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